This vendible first appeared in West Pointâs Modern War Institute.
We just completed the seventh week of our new national security matriculation at Stanford â Technology, Innovation and Unconfined Power Competition. Joe Felter, Raj Shah and I designed the matriculation to imbricate how technology will shape the weft and employment of all instruments of national power.
In class 1, we learned that national power is the sum of all the resources misogynist to a state to pursue its national objectives and interests. This power is wielded through a combination of a countryâs diplomacy, information, its military capabilities, economic strength, finance, intelligence, and law enforcement. These instruments of national power employed in a âwhole of government approachâ to whop a stateâs interests are known by the acronym DIME-FIL.
Class 2 focused on China, the U.S.âs primary unconfined power competitor. China is using all elements of its national power, e.g. information/ intelligence, its military might and economic strength as well as exploiting Western finance and technology. Chinaâs goal is to rencontre and overturn the U.S.-led liberal international order and replace it with its own neo-totalitarian model where China emerges as the dominant regional and global power.
The third class focused on Russia, which since 2014 has asserted itself as a competing unconfined power. We learned how Russia pursues security and economic interests in parallel with its ideological aims.
The fourth class shifted our focus to the impact commercial technologies have on the instruments of national power (DIME-FIL). The first technology we examined was semiconductors, and the U.S. dependence on TSMC in Taiwan, for its most wide logic chips.
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In the fifth class we examined the impact that AI and Machine Learning will protract to have on the capabilities and employment of DIME-FIL.
In class six we discussed unmanned systems and autonomy and how the outstart of these weapons will transpiration operational concepts and the squatter of war.
Todayâs class: The Second Space Age: Unconfined Power Competition in Space.
Catch up with the matriculation by reading our intro to the class, and summaries of Classes 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6Â
Required readings
The Cold War: Space Race 1.0
- Martand Jha, âThis Is How the Space Race Changed the Unconfined Power Rivalry Foreverâ The National Interest, July 27, 2017.
- âSpace as a Warfighting Domain: Issues for Congressâ Congressional Research Service
- Maddie Davis, âThe Space Raceâ University of Virginia – The Miller Center, 2021.
- âCold War in Space: Top Secret Reconnaissance Satellites Revealedâ National Museum of the United States Air Force, June 02, 2015.
Space as a Domain
- Lt Gen David âD. T.â Thompson, âSpace as a War-Fighting Domainâ Air & Space Power Journal, Summer 2018.
Age of Unconfined Power Competition: Space Race 2.0
- William J. Broad, âHow Space Became the Next âGreat Powerâ Contest Between the U.S. and Chinaâ New York Times, Jan. 24, 2021.
- Luke Harding, âThe Space Race is Back OnâBut Who Will Win?â Guardian, July 16, 2021.
- Tim Harford, âThe CubeSat Revolution Changing the Way We See the Worldâ BBC News, July 17, 2019.
- Alexander Bowe, âChinaâs Pursuit of Space Power Status and Implications for the United Statesâ U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, Apr. 11, 2019.
- Greg Autry & Steve Kwast, âAmerica is Losing the Second Space Race to Chinaâ Foreign Policy, Aug. 22, 2019.
Americaâs Space Forces
- âDefense Primer: The United States Space Forceâ Congressional Research Service
- âWhatâs With All the U.S. Space-Related Agenciesâ U.S. Department of Defense, Dec. 14, 2020.
- Bryan Bender, âWhat the Space Force Is, and Isnâtâ Politico, Feb. 03, 2021.
- John W. Raymond, âHow Weâre Building a 21st-Century Space Forceâ The Atlantic, Dec. 20, 2020.
- âUnited States Space Forceâ U.S. Department of Defense, Feb. 2019.
- âDOD Space Strategyâ, U.S. Department of Defense, 2021.
Space Threats & Non-State Actors
- Harsh Vasani, âHow China Is Weaponizing Outer Spaceâ The Diplomat, Jan. 19, 2017.
- Hanneke Weitering, âRussia Has Launched an Anti-Satellite Missile Test, US Space Writ Saysâ Space.com, Dec. 16, 2020
- Andre Kwok, âThe Growing Threat of Cybercrime in the Space Domainâ East Asia Forum, Sept. 9, 2021.
Reading Assignment Questions
Pick one of the unelevated questions and wordplay in approximately 100 words, based on the required readings.Â
- Describe Americaâs space resources and the role of the U.S. Space Force in protecting and employing those assets. As the U.S. Space Force continues to develop, what changes in strategy and/or wing to its portfolio of responsibilities would you recommend?
- What is the greatest current threat to U.S. interests in space? What recommendations would you have for the U.S. and its partners to mitigate that threat?
Class 7 â Guest Speaker
Our guest speaker was General John Raymond, Chief of Space Operations. He is the first Chief of Space Operations, U.S. Space Force. Space Force has three major commands â Space Operations Command, Space Systems Command, and Space Training and Readiness Command.
The Space Force was born as a separate service in December 2019. Previously General Raymond led re-establishment of U.S. Space Command as 11th U.S. combatant command, and was for a year the throne of both a service (Space Force) and a combatant writ (Space Command).
Raymond said a focus for the Space Force is stuff lean and fast, innovative and unified.
Space was once considered âbenign,â largely uninhabited except by the United States and Russia and the Soviet Union. Today it is far increasingly crowded and dangerous. Raymond pointed out that the worthiness to operate in space is hair-trigger not only to protect U.S. security, but moreover to power the U.S. and global economy, communications, transportation and other essential functions of everyday life.
âSpace is unmistakably a warfighting domain and weâre convinced that if deterrence were to fail, weâre going to have to fight and win the wrestle for space superiority,â he said.
Lecture 7
If you can’t see the lecture 7 slides click here.
Next Week: Cyber
Lessons Learned
- Our military depends on our resources in space (satellites) for communication, navigation, situational sensation (via photo, radar and electronic intelligence satellites) warning and targeting
- Our civil economy moreover depends on space resources for GPS and communication
- Space is now a contested environment with China and Russia capable of disabling/destroying our satellites
- Using directed energy (lasers), cyber, electronic warfare, ground or space-based kinetic weapons